Ecosystem Targets and Supporting Indicators

Lobster Abundance

Lobster has historically been an important fishery in Long Island Sound but populations have declined in recent years. This indicator is a fisheries-independent estimation of their abundance in the Sound.

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Lobster Abundance
YearFall Index - Count/TowSpring Index - Count/Tow
19847.417.09
19853.333.10
19864.752.76
19875.953.30
19883.542.24
19893.753.76
19907.295.33
19919.907.74
19929.527.88
199311.506.72
199410.134.10
19958.058.36
199610.076.77
199719.607.67
199810.4718.52
199911.1812.49
20006.8311.01
20014.287.56
20022.686.31
20033.033.89
20043.682.50
20052.102.43
20061.481.94
20071.213.22
20082.072.72
20091.821.40
2010-1.30
20110.380.79
20120.290.97
20130.160.44
20140.090.45
20150.080.31
20160.020.33
20170.020.08
20180.010.09
20190.000.10
2020*
20210.020.04
20220.030.01
20230.000.01

WHAT IS THE AMERICAN LOBSTER?

The American lobster (Homarus americanus) lives in the cold waters of the Northeastern US and Canada, including Long Island Sound,  and range offshore as far south as Virginia. In US waters three separate lobster stocks are recognized:  the Gulf of Maine where they are very abundant, Georges Bank where populations are stable or increasing, and southern New England where abundance has dramatically declined in the last decade.

Lobsters are social, territorial crustaceans that live in a variety of different habitats, preferring areas that have a rocky or firm mud bottom they can burrow into. Studies have shown that inshore lobsters like those in the Sound have localized movements, while offshore lobsters seasonally migrate from as far as the edge of the continental shelf to inshore waters to spawn in late spring and summer.

WHAT DOES THIS INDICATE?

Because most of the Sound’s lobster population does not migrate, the standardized catch of lobster from the CT DEEP Long Island Sound Trawl Survey is used to assess the relative abundance of the local stock. The trawl index is a more accurate representation of abundance than lobster landings because landings are influenced by how each fisherman sets their gear, how often they fish, and socio-economic factors such as market price.

STATUS

The above graph shows the trend of lobster abundance in the fall (note that no data are available for 2010) and spring. The fall and spring indices for American lobster are on a steady decline. Both indices have remained below the time-series average since 2003, and in recent years are nearing or reaching zero. One of the factors implicated in the lobster population decline is increased summer water temperatures in Long Island Sound. American lobsters cannot maintain their metabolisms in waters above 20°C for long periods of time. The LISS climate change indicator, for example, shows that the Niantic Bay has experienced water temperatures greater than this threshold in the summer for the past 10 years. Additionally, some warm water species that prey on lobsters are becoming more abundant in the Sound, such as Black Sea Bass. Other species such as Smooth dogfish and striped bass that have high consumption rates on lobster, may be contributing to keeping lobster abundance to the current depressed level.

DATA NOTES

  • The survey uses geometric mean instead of arithmetic mean to find the most frequently observed  number of  fish collected per tow. In a natural environment such as Long Island Sound  fish have a “patchy” distribution, i.e. some areas will have a very high abundance of fish, and other areas very low abundance or no fish at all. An arithmetic mean can be easily biased by unusually high or low values so that it doesn’t reflect the true center of a data set.  The geometric mean minimizes the effects of very high or low values using a log transformation and is a better average for this type of biological data. 
  • In 2020, CT DEEP was unable to conduct its Long Island Sound Trawl Survey due to COVID-19 restrictions.

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